Germany real estate market: No Corona discount – property prices continue to rise despite the crisis, as published by renowned business daily newspaper Handelsblatt
Some economists had expected the corona crisis to slow house prices. But recent figures show significant increases. The Corona crisis has not given property buyers a chance to buy cheaper prices. In the second quarter, prices for apartments and houses in Germany continued to rise. According to an initial estimate by the Federal Statistical Office, property buyers had to put on the table 5.6 percent more in recent months than in the same quarter of the previous year. Compared to the first quarter, apartments and houses were 1.4 percent more expensive. These figures are only a quick estimate, which is fraught with some uncertainty, the Wiesbaden statisticians warned. But the numbers are not a big surprise: after all, real estate prices have been on the rise. At the beginning of the year, for example, the experts of the Federal Statistical Office reported a rise in real estate prices of 6.8 percent in the first quarter, and an annual rate of 0.3 percent in the final quarter of 2019. No Corona Discount Those hoping for a Corona tee shot were disappointed. "It would have been conceivable that property owners would have to sell because they were in financial distress – but that has not been the case so far," says real estate expert Reiner Braun of the analysis institute Empirica. "With generously granted measures such as short time working allowances and housing benefit, the Federal Government has prevented major rent losses and mass redundancies. There were no emergency sales that could have depressed prices." The big question now is whether this will change if there is a second wave in the corona crisis. In the long term, however, according to experts such as Braun, house prices will continue to rise even after a possible dent. "We simply have too few apartments and too little building land. This suggests that prices continue to rise – especially as interest rates remain so low." Off to suburbs In search of an affordable property, therefore, more and more Germans are migrating from the big cities to the suburbs. Because there you can actually find cheaper properties: Those who are willing to move out of the city for up to an hour drive distance can save up to 52 percent when buying a house, according to a recently published study by the real estate portal Immowelt. The closer to town you look to a property, the lower the price advantage, after demand – and prices – have risen sharply there in recent years. Nevertheless, it should be noted that many of the existing properties in the surrounding area require renovations, which must be added to the purchase price. In addition, according to Immowelt, the houses are often located right by the road and not necessarily corresponding to the full wish of an idyllic country life, especially in the smaller villages. Nevertheless, there are numerous properties that are either newly built or renovated and are nevertheless significantly cheaper than within the city limits. Corona will make the suburbia properties more expensive For the study, Immowelt examined the prices of single-family homes in eight selected cities and their surrounding areas. The biggest savings are in the Frankfurt area: instead of 695,000 euros in the urban area, houses in the 60-minute zone cost an average of 337,000 euros. In percentage terms, the difference is greatest in Hamburg (49 percent) and Stuttgart (47 percent). In Munich, too, the price differences are glaring while single-family houses in the city cost 1.19 million euros on average, with a one-hour commute they are 649,000 euros. This is a saving of 45 percent, or just over half a million euros. It is noteworthy that a house in Munich within a 60-minute radius is still more expensive than one directly in Berlin, Hamburg or Cologne. Immowelt expects the Corona crisis and the increasing introduction of home office work to increase interest in the Suburbs. It opens the possibility for many families to live further outside the cities. "This would allow demand to be more distributed in the future and prices to be more adjusted." The data base for the calculation of the purchase prices was created from offers posted on the Internet portal. Only offers that were increasingly in demand were considered. The prices give the average of single-family homes offered in the second half of 2019 and the first half of 2020 as well as in the same period of the previous years. Source: Article from 26-8-20 In the Handelsblatt Picture: Imagem: Holger Kraft by Pixabay
UK: housing boom after containment, but in London prices fall
The United Kingdom has seen an increase in real estate transactions and higher prices after containment. At least in the provinces, London being sullied by the buyers... The UK property market has seen mixed developments in recent times. In July, it recorded a "mini-post-confinement boom" with the highest number of sales trade-offs signed in more than a decade, at 37 billion pounds, according to the ad site Rightmove. While London, the capital, is the victim of an exodus that is driving down prices (-2%), a rise is seen almost everywhere else, with records in seven regions, including Devon or Cornwall, in the south-west of the country, according to a study by Rightmove. A migration encouraged by the rise of telework since the containment put in place to fight the pandemic of new coronavirus. Rightmove notes to the brokers that homeowners or potential buyers are looking for a better quality of life with more space facing the high cost of living in London, where public transport is usually overcrowded. "More than just catching up on demand after the suspension of real estate transactions during containment, there is additional demand because of people changing their priorities after the containment experience," notes Miles Shipside, one of Rightmove's executives. With the highest number of sales recorded since Rightmove started these monthly studies, he notes that this "mini-boom" is unexpected to say the least in the middle of summer, at a time "when we usually dive into the pool more than in the real estate market". The real estate market is also boosted by a moratorium on real estate tax on transactions on properties under 500,000 pounds, announced in July by Finance Minister Rishi Sunak as part of a package of stimulus measures. The market had also suffered in recent years from Brexit-related uncertainties, which had prompted many homeowners or potential buyers to delay their buying or selling decisions. Source: Capital FR
Can living above the Supermarket be fashionable again?
Residential and commercial buildings are being built again in some of the central European countries partly by the commercial groups themselves, a model that can easily be adapted to our needs and urban reality in Portugal. The synergy effects are convincing because there are many winners. It is normal for a supermarket to be located in a residential or commercial building. But then the areas would be bigger and there would also be more parking spaces, only going according to the new hybrid construction scheme of this type of new property. It should be noted that these economic groups were betting on expansion in the suburbs and in stand-alone options. Now, as by miracle they realized that there is still room for apartments above the markets and parking spaces that are often empty. In Berlin, for example, there were already 330 shops and markets between 2017 and 2018 with the potential for 50 to 100 apartments each, thus creating one of the cities with the greatest shortage of housing space in these circumstances 24,750 dwellings and parking spaces not yet counted. If we look and calculate at the Lisbon and Oporto GAM we will have numbers that may not be identical, but with a noticeable impact for these housing markets. But of course these Groups do not want to sell apartments, however to build new markets in the most important urban centres, this solution with rental apartments on top of them may be a solution for the lack of rental properties in Portugal. There may be several projects with residential or office use or other services such as low-cost hotels, schools, universities to hospitals nothing is impossible in these hybrid projects. Multifunctional developments, with complete condominiums, have several leisure options and services at affordable prices. The concept of sharing or cohabitation already exists in many cities of the world. We are already sharing several services every day, from online movies to private transport. This trend has come about because people care more about their time, their money and the environment. But when we think about creating housing we ask ourselves how is it possible to share our home? Condominiums like this attract a new niche of people who are no longer interested only in residing, but living well, with quality and many options for leisure and entertainment. To share is to have less work to maintain of and more time to live your life. To have fewer individual spaces and more collective spaces, thinking about everyone's well-being. By sharing the same services in the condominium, we have less expenses and more efficiency in maintenance, since everyone shared the same benefits. Having less waste and more sustainability is the key to the architecture of sharing, and above all the cost savings that can be reflected in the purchase and rental values. Text: Paulo Lopes
Smart Offices and Digital Real Estate "The Future Is at the door and how should we do it?"
The digital era is also considered as the way to the future in Real Estate. Though what does it mean in practical terms? What are advantages and opportunities brought to real estate by the digital era? With the digitalisation of buildings, it can improve livelihood as they will better know the individual needs of each user. The management of the building becomes easier and the CO2 emissions are reduced significantly. The return of the investment in Real Estate will increase and our daily life will become more pleasing. Firstly, we require to create a common knowledge of hat digitalisation is capable in the real estate sector. What types of digitalisation exist? It all depends on the different points of view, perspectives and interests that are requirements to digitalisation. A group with a major real estate portfolio has a completely different uptake of digitalisation then a projects promoter. The different perspectives on the subject need to be worked on and discussed so that the interested parties may be on the wavelength. In the future the smart buildings may be used in a different way through software updates or any other ways that may be adequate for users. Digitalisation may be beneficial for asset and property management, as well as installation management. The architects must be conscious of these possibilities and assess their clients’ interests. Above all, the smart buildings can be used in a more flexible way, but there may be problems. The devil in the detail. E.g.: The problem of a magnetic coating, that is characterised by its ability to avoid the passage of radio waves, is that it will also impeach the digital reception in that part of the building. This measure is though feasible to be applied if we consider safety measurements, having to reconsider the reinstallation of Telecomms as part of that measure. After installation of such measure smartphones’ reception would be broken and new installations would be required to enable communication with the exterior world. What are the greatest challenges for architects in digitalisation? To start off with the DPGR sets off alarms as smart buildings will collect data including those from its users. Who knows to which point and way that type of data collection is legal? I think that presently that there is still a lot of grey areas and lack of information and comprehension in the real estate market and its promotion. The know –how is also sought when we consider safety: What does cybernetic safety mean for wireless networks? It is necessary to start creating legislation and knowledge around this matter, as the future is around the corner and there is an increasing requirement due to the natural demand for innovation and, naturally, a growing demand for smart buildings and communicators with the exterior world, such as for mobility in urban city centres. We are not just speaking of new buildings, but a giant stock of real estate that will be digitalised gradually in the future. Smart buildings are more costly, but they are worth the investment, there will be return on investment Only 2.5 to 5% of total construction costs are directed towards digitalisation. And the expectations on ROI rise due to demand and offer relations. To these reasons we can add the benefits of optimised efficiency and therefore there is a great potential in savings to be explored by digitalisation. There are other new possibilities that will influence companies as well, e.g.: a company that has 10000 employees but can only offer 1000 parking spaces. In the past this would not be feasible or considered feasible! Though now it is possible with a mobility integrated programme and a parking solution with offers for car share, then this would be possible to overcome. In summary we cannot forget that both you working place and your home have direct or indirect consequences in nature. Considering new behaviours and new ways of living of each and every one and their concerns for nature, we cannot put aside that everyone needs to minimise the carbon footprint, adding smart buildings to this aim.
The European strategy for hydrogen and the role of Portugal in this coming energy change!
The clean hydrogen is gaining way in the European scenery: The European Commission (EU) has a new strategy which defines much more ambitious targets and has created na alliance which will lead its implementation. EU’s forecasts that accumulated investments in renewable Hydrogen may reach between 180 e 470 billion euros in Europe by 2050. In parallel the creation of infrastructures around the industry that will service various production sectors and other end use solutions, may employ, directly or indirectly up to a million people. Brussels states that, according to analysts, clean hydrogen may serve 24% of the worldwide energy demand by 2050, with annual sales of circa 630 billion euros. The European Clean Hydrogen Alliance will define the strategy, counting with representatives of the member states, the industry and the civil society, as 75% of emissions in the European Union result from energy processes. The commission has promised to support the installation of 6 gigawatts of electrolysers, a type of equipment deemed necessary to the production of renewable Hydrogen. The aim, when speaking of these electrolysers is 40 gigawatts and, in what concerns production, targets are set at 10milion tons of hydrogen. The Portuguese Government wants to make available 400 million euros by 2030 towards clean Hydrogen! This year there will be set aside 40 million euros to finance projects in the field of Clean Hydrogen, aiming to repeat such initiatives in the same amount up until 2030. In this way, Portugal, as a member of the European Clean Hydrogen Alliance, wants to produce large quantities of clean hydrogen in a competitive way and with an important role in the emerging Hydrogen Industry aligned with an industrialisation strategy. The points in favour of Portugal are: geographical strategic location; solar and wind energy resources; the harbour in Sines and the Harbour in Leixões (Porto) that enable export of goods or gross product to the main markets in Northern Europe and across the Atlantic. In the core of this Alliance is also Marc Rechter, CEO of Resilient Group, who sees Portugal as a favourable location to advance with new projects in this sector, namely in what concerns Sines. In: Jornal de Negócios Image: fuelcellworks
Pandemic suspends review of Council tax coefficients
The proposal with the new values for location coefficients for Council tax purposes has been completed and has been sent to the Revenue Department, but the process has been suspended since the beginning of the pandemic and there is no schedule for starting over. Values for Lisbon should rise. The revision of the location coefficients for Council tax purposes, which should have been completed in 2019, remains stalled, following the pandemic and with no date for resuming activities, as ascertained by Jornal Negócios. These coefficients, which are used to determine the tax asset value (VPT) of the buildings and, consequently to ascertain the council tax band payable following the evaluations, have already been reviewed by the evaluating experts of the Revenue services. However, they were not validated and published by the Treasury, who have the last word. Figures pointed to increases The review by the experts and which CNAPU sent to the Revenue at the end of 2019 pointed to substantial increases in coefficients, especially in large urban centers, as the Jornal Negócios then reported. Compared to the maps now in force, practically the entire city of Lisbon recorded increases: throughout the riverside area – especially the Expo area – in Baixa and Avenidas Novas, Campo de Ourique or Telheiras, just to give some examples that not only saw increases but were approaching or were already at the maximum level of the coefficient (between 0.4 and 3.5). In Porto there were also rises, but less expressive, particularly in the area of Foz, Hospital de São João or Gaia, on the South side of the river. The location coefficient reflects variables such as accessibility, proximity to social facilities, transportation services or areas of high real estate market value. This raises the question of whether values have to be re-revalued now that the housing market suffering the effects of the crisis. What dividing into areas means and what is it for? For the setting of the location coefficients used in the definition of the tax asset value of the buildings, the territory is divided into as equivalent areas as possible taking into account a set of criteria. The higher it is, the more it will influence the real estate VPT and, consequently, the council tax to pay on an annual basis. These coefficients are periodically revised to reflect the changes that are taking place in urban centres and the evolution of the real estate market. Fiscal measures for the ride of the pandemic At the beginning of the pandemic, the Government soon launched some tax relief measures for the immediate time. The supplementary budget proposal brings more and longer lasting changes in time. Source: Jornal de Negócios (28-06-2020) Picture: Bruno /Germany by Pixabay
Co-Living resists the pandemic
Lisbon and Porto were the two European cities with the greatest potential for shared rental demand — the concept of co-living — according to a study by JLL published at the end of 2019. In the eyes of international investors Portugal is a market of opportunities. And now, seven months later, many of the projects have not undergone any change in either interest or development, which for us is an excellent sign for our real estate and international investment market in our country. Uhub, as an example and considered one of the largest brands for students’ halls in Europe, has one of its largest units, located in Lisbon near Colombo Shopping Centre with 340 rooms, gymnasium, social rooms and study rooms, which is about to be completed. This market is somewhat uncertain about its future, even universities do not have their schedules set. Receiving international students as and when it is unknown, though with two more residences in Lisbon, and one in Porto, under construction, which will have nearly 500 rooms, these entrepreneurs do not get carried away by pessimism and rather believe in the market in Portugal which is another excellent sign for us. Smart Studios Carcavelos was one of the most recent to open its activity and made available to the rental market 301 studios and co-living spaces, aimed at students, teachers and young professionals. And aims to put more than 2700 studios on the market by 2025. In Europe there are already 23,500 beds between projects already built or under development. Co-living is a very recent reality in the world, and even more so in Portugal. Though its flexible concept to interchange the buildings to adapt to new realities, and start time and cost are reduced, is, in a way, a product that has its future guaranteed in the national and international real estate market. Currently, there are several projects under development that come from this concept to find alternative residential solutions. As the end of the pandemic is still in the stars, it will be the recovery time that will dictate the success of this business, and the target audience are the digital nomads, who due to the pandemic have retired to confinement in their home countries. The future of co-living will depend a lot on what will happen in the coming months in terms of vaccines and medicines against Covid-19, and whether Lisbon and Porto remain on the route of digital nomads, international students, and self-employed workers, who settle for a short time, usually in shared rental spaces. Before the pandemic, JLL estimated a potential demand that could "reach 16,000 to 18,000 beds in Lisbon and Porto, that is, 25 times more than the current pipeline. Probably the digital nomads will spend more time in a country, maybe six to eight months. Investors and us at Casaiberia will keep an eye on these changes! Source: Jornal Expresso Picture: nathsegato by Pixabay
Residential Real Estate and Covid-19: How Homeowners Can Breathe A Sigh of Relief
It would have been hard to imagine that a virus would affect half the world a few months ago, and that it would still cause incalculable financial losses in almost every sector of the economy. But we want to know how Covid-19 will affect the residential real estate industry, and what should homeowners take into consideration here onwards. Due to the exceptional pandemic situation, the number of people talking and anticipating a drop in residential property prices is increasing from week to week. There is no doubt that the current crisis is already having its impact on the residential real estate market in Portugal. Much because of current and expected economic uncertainties, some potential buyers are unwilling to burden themselves with a real estate investment. Housing credits will have more valuation requirements than before, and many sellers will wait for better times to sell their properties. It is necessary to inform all players in the real estate market in Portugal that "the so-called housing bubble" does not exist. And that said bubble is not about to burst, nor will residential real estate suddenly lose its value. But what is important to know is that the opposite may turn out to be the case! The Coronavirus’ crisis has made many see how important it is for our home to be a space that is much more than just sleeping ground, it has become our castle. Staying in a private space of our own, with due social distancing and living conditions different from those that were important to us before this pandemic. People want to get back to having a beautiful, spacious, safe home that belongs to them. Demand for residential real estate and its prices are more likely to increase, given the emotional factors. So home owners can breathe a sigh of relief and be more relaxed at this time. There have already been several international studies, such as a study in the German market by Hausgold that goes hand in hand with our thoughts, the german residential market like our own has been rising in price in recent years. 39% of all respondents confirm that the competence of real estate agents is particularly appreciated at this time. A regional real estate specialist can competently answer questions on the topics of selling and buying and thus settle client’s uncertainties and concerns. The professional capacity of real estate agents at this stage of the race is crucial, and we at Casaibéria bet on the defense of prices since nothing has changed in the intention of potential buyers, nor in the costs of construction and acquisition of land before and after the health crisis of Covid-19. We are therefore convinced that only good training and sensible response can help our customers, both buyers and sellers. We will not enter a race of discounts just to follow the opinion of said "experts" who live from crystal ball divination, and who lack a broader view of the subject and the national and international real estate industry. I want to underline three ideas! 1- The real estate market will see a sharp drop in indicators of economic activity. The current recession resembles to a “football match break” in economic activity and should be interpreted and managed as such. 2- The fact that Portugal, from the point of view of attracting international investment, has added health security to its already very good and positive features, which will help us to leverage our recovery. 3- Portugal is still in fashion, and international investment is still interested in investing in our country, this will create new jobs. Employment that brings financial well-being and the one that leads to families to buying their own permanent residence again. Text: Paulo Lopes Picture: Martine Auvray by Pixabay
Portugal less than one percentage point away from reaching its target for renewable energy!
The share of the cake in renewable energy of all the energy consumed by the European Union has risen to 18%. According to Eurostat, in Portugal that slice is at 30.3%, less than one point from the target. Of all the energy consumed in the European Union in 2018, 18% came from renewable sources, 0.5 percentage points more than in the previous year. In Portugal, the share of renewable energy in the total cake stood at 30.3%, less than one percentage point from the target set for 2020 by the Executive. It should be noted that the community target was to have 20% of energy consumption from renewable sources by 2020. By 2030, the European Union wants to see this share increase to 32%. By 2018, 12 of the 28 Member States had already achieved their national targets: Bulgaria (achieved a share of 20.5% when the target was 16%), the Czech Republic (achieved a share of 15.1% when the target was 13%), Denmark (achieved a share of 36.1% when the target was 30%), Estonia (achieved a share of 30% when the target was 25%), Greece (18%), Croatia (achieved a share of 28% when the target was 20%), Italy (achieved a share of 17, 8%, when the target was 17%), Latvia (reached a slice of 40.3%, when the target was 40%), Lithuania (reached a slice of 24.4%, when the target was 23%), Cyprus (reached a slice of 13.9%, when the target was 13%), Finland (reached a slice of 41.2%, when the target was 38%), and Sweden (reached a slice of 54.6%, when the target was 49%). In addition, four other European countries were within one percentage point of their national targets, namely Portugal. According to Eurostat, the Netherlands (6.6 percentage points), France (6.4 percentage points), Ireland (4.9 percentage points), the United Kingdom (4 percentage points) and Slovenia (3.9 percentage points) were the furthest from its target. According to data also published by Eurostat this Thursday, 8% of the energy used to power transport in the European Union came from renewable sources in 2018. Sweden has established itself as the European country with the largest share of renewable energy in the transport sector (29.7%), followed by Finland (14.1%), Austria (9.8%) and the Netherlands (9.6%). Portugal managed to secure sixth place in the European table, with a share of renewables of 9.04%. Source: https://eco.sapo.pt/2020/01/23/portugal-a-menos-de-um-ponto-percentual-de-atingir-meta-para-energia-renovavel/ Picture: Free-Photos by Pixabay
Brits, Germans or French… who visits Portugal the most?
The numbers of tourists coming to Portugal keeps increasing as the British take the lead on being the nationality who visited more the country. They are, then, followed by the Germans and the French. A reciprocal relation, one might say, as topping the Portuguese most visited destinations are France and Germany, despite Spain still being the most visited. According to Eurostat, 14% of the tourists visiting Portugal come from the United Kingdom, spending an average of 75 euros per night and staying an average of 9 nights. Following the British, we find Germans taking second place (9.3%). German tourists in Portugal spend an average of 104€ per night and stay an average of 10 night in the country. The third in the podium are the French (7.2%), staying an average of 9 days and spend an average of 103 euros per night. In a lesser number, the Spanish come also visiting Portugal, despite preferring France and Morroco. 1.5% of the Spaniards chose the neighbouring country as their holiday destination, spending an average of 99 euros per night and staying an average of 5 nights. Source: Lusa
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